US Sees Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Unlikely Next Year Despite 2027 Timeline

US intelligence and defense officials assess that China is unlikely to invade Taiwan next year, despite President Xi Jinping’s directive for the People’s Liberation Army to be ready for an attack by 2027. Officials cite delays caused by an anti-corruption campaign affecting military leadership and Beijing’s interest in Taiwan’s 2028 election. The 2027 benchmark reflects a capability goal rather than a fixed invasion date. However, officials warn the risk could rise from 2028 onward if Taiwan’s ruling party retains power.