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Ukraine’s drone playbook is wreaking havoc in Russia — and upending where NATO wants to invest

Ukraine’s intensified drone campaign is hitting Russian energy infrastructure and military assets, helping stall Russia’s momentum while raising escalation risks. The battlefield success is also shifting NATO’s planning and investment priorities—pushing allies toward far greater spending on counter-drone capabilities.

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Julie

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Ukraine’s drone playbook is wreaking havoc in Russia — and upending where NATO wants to invest

Ukraine’s success with long-range drones has become a defining feature of the war, with the country stepping up deep strikes against Russian energy infrastructure and military targets. Analysts and defense experts say the campaign is helping disrupt Russia’s momentum by forcing Russia to divert resources to protect critical assets and defend supply lines, while also increasing the risk of escalation as Ukraine reaches farther into Russian territory.

Recent attacks included what appeared to be one of the deepest strikes of the war on Russian soil, drawing attention to Ukraine’s ability to sustain pressure long after earlier phases of the conflict. Experts point to improvements that have made Ukrainian drones more resilient—such as better production capacity and upgrades in navigation and targeting technologies that can still function when satellite navigation is jammed.

NATO’s investment outlook is changing in parallel. NATO leadership has warned that drones have “fundamentally altered” modern warfare and are now a decisive battlefield factor. At the same time, NATO is launching initiatives aimed at accelerating counter-drone readiness across member countries, including plans to invest tens of billions of dollars over the next five years in counter-drone capabilities.

The article frames Ukraine’s drone developments as not just battlefield tactics but as strategic leverage—both to cut off Russian energy revenues and to apply pressure that could influence the course of the war. It also notes that Ukraine’s drone expertise is increasingly seen by allies as an asset, positioning Ukraine as more than a receiver of support and closer to a source of real operational lessons for the broader security community.

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